Tuesday, November 02, 2004

SENATE THREAD All times are EST.

6:49--Has the Kentucky Board of Elections jumped the gun and started reporting returns before the polls have closed? Mongiardo (the underdog Democrat) seems to be leading 54%-46% with 20% of precincts reporting.

7:12--Mongiardo continues to hold a 10% lead with 35.5% of precincts reporting. These numbers are likely to narrow, but no one would have predicted Mongiardo would hold this kind of lead with these many votes counted.

7:47--Mongiardo's lead is down to 5 points with 57% of precincts reporting. Still very little data coming out of South Carolina.

7:58--Starting to look very worrisome in Kentucky--Mongiardo's lead has been whittled down to 2 points with 65% of precincts reporting.

8:09--As expected, still no word on the Senate races in North Carolina and Oklahoma. But the fact that Pennsylvania race hasn't gone quickly for Arlen Specter is a good sign for Democrats nationally.

8:14--Finally, some data out of South Carolina: Tenenbaum trails by 7 points with about 8% of precincts reporting.

8:37--NBC has called the Oklahoma Senate race for Tom Coburn over Democrat Brad Carson. Devastating for Democratic hopes of taking over the Senate, which--if this result holds up--have just about evaporated.

8:58--Mongiardo leads Kentucky by 950 votes with 90% reporting.

9:08--Mongiardo has expanded his lead to 2,700 votes with 92% of precincts reporting.

9:26--Wha? Bunning has just jumped out to a 20,000 vote lead over Mongiardo, even though the number of precincts reporting has only nudged up slightly.

10:05--According to Daily Kos, MSNBC has called the South Carolina Senate race for Jim DeMint over Inez Tenenbaum. Looks like a very tough night for Democrats in the Senate--at this point even a net loss of one seat might be considered a favorable outcome.

11:20--The Florida Senate race has tightened. Betty Castor has cut Mel Martinez's lead to about 17,000 votes with 92% of precincts reporting.

11:23--CBS News has just called the North Carolina Senate race: Another gain for the Republicans.

12:40--Ken Salazar has been given the nod in Colorado. A pick-up for the Democrats.

CONTRAPOSITIVE is edited by Dan Aibel. Dan's a playwright. He lives in New York City.