Thursday, January 29, 2004

Quick NH Thoughts A lot of news from the Dean camp today--money troubles, firing of Trippi and more. It'll all take a day or so to digest.

In the meantime, my quick take on the NH results: Dean did what was necessary to survive and remain viable--no more, no less. His campaign came back from the brink, and he demonstrated that he deserves to compete in all the contest between Feb. 3 and March 2. Still, the dynamic of the race needs to change radically in the next couple weeks for him to have any real shot at stealing the momentum from Kerry.

Now. That's not likely to happen, but it's more likely than the conventional wisdom would have us believe. (See Kausfiles, The New Republic Online and Andrewsullivan.com for the first of what are sure to be many swipes at Kerry.)

One final point:

The current fundraising "bat" up at deanforamerica.com is the first one I can recall that doesn't have a time limit to it. My guess is that's because, post-Iowa, the campaign didn't know where it stood with its grassroots supporters, and was nervous about setting an unrealistic goal.

The result is that it's taken about five days to raise a million dollars--not the fastest million the camp has raised in the last several months, but certainly not the slowest either.

Read into that what you will.

CONTRAPOSITIVE is edited by Dan Aibel. Dan's a playwright. He lives in New York City.